União de Leiria vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
UDL
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 2
UDL
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
ELE
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
FAT
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |