União de Leiria vs Atlético Malveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 0
LEX
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
4 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 4
UDL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACV
1 - 3
UDL
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Malveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
ADM
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
ATL
18%
18%
64%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +5 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 2
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |