União de Leiria vs Naval 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.6%
2.8%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 1
UDL
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 0
OLE
88%
10%
3%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 2
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
UDL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 3
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
4 - 1
ANM
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
5 - 1
ANM
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 3
OLE
73%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
8 - 0
ANM
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |