União de Coimbra vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
14º
5º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 5
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
COI
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 1
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 0
BEN
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
GDF
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
OLI
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +2 |