União Barbarense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 4
MOG
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 0
UNI
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
OES
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
6 - 0
MOG
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 3
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
JUV
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |