União Barbarense vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
3 - 1
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUD
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 3
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
AME
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 2
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIN
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 3
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |