União Barbarense vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
71.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 3
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OES
1 - 2
SAN
14%
23%
64%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOG
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |