União Barbarense vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 2
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 1
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SEP
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |