União Barbarense vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
4 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
OES
3 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNI
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
VOT
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
PEN
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
OES
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 2
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |