União Barbarense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 3
UNI
43%
24%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 2
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
12%
20%
68%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 3
COR
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
POR
2 - 2
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
YPI
1 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |