União Barbarense vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAN
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 1
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 3
ITU
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |