União Barbarense vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 2
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAU
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 0
RIO
32%
26%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |