União Barbarense vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
VOT
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |