União Barbarense vs Colorado Caieiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 1
UNI
15%
17%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
AMP
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
UNI
18%
19%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Colorado Caieiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
SKA
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COL
2 - 4
PAU
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AMP
3 - 2
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
UNI
18%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |