Unia Tarnów vs Stal Stalowa Wola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
11º
18º
14º
71
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unia Tarnów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ORP
2 - 3
UTA
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 2
SOK
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
KSZ
5 - 3
UTA
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
WIS
1 - 2
UTA
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
UTA
2 - 1
WIS
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stal Stalowa Wola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STA
3 - 0
KSW
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
4 - 2
STA
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
CPO
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
0 - 6
STA
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
UTA
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |