U América FC vs Univ. San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U América FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
IAS
2 - 3
LOS
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 0
IAS
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
IAS
2 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
LOS
2 - 1
IAS
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ACO
2 - 0
IAS
63%
20%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ACO
1 - 3
SMA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
SMA
3 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
SMA
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 1
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 1
LOS
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |