Undy Athletic vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Undy Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 3
UND
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
UND
0 - 1
TAF
28%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
UND
3 - 1
SUF
12%
17%
72%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +5 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
4 - 0
UND
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
UND
3 - 4
CWM
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
RIS
0 - 2
LLA
24%
21%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
SUF
2 - 2
RIS
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAM
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
RIS
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 1
AAF
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |