Undy Athletic vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Undy Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CWU
2 - 1
UND
15%
17%
68%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UND
0 - 2
SUF
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AAF
2 - 1
UND
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
UND
2 - 1
CWM
61%
18%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CWM
0 - 3
UND
43%
21%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 1
PON
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
BRI
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SUF
1 - 1
LLA
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LLA
3 - 2
TAF
58%
19%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
TAF
1 - 2
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |