UNCW Seahawks vs Hofstra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNCW Seahawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
JMD
2 - 0
UNC
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
1 - 0
WMM
63%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CCR
0 - 0
UNC
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
2 - 0
EPX
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hofstra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NTH
4 - 3
HFP
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
HFP
0 - 0
DLW
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NTH
2 - 2
HFP
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HFP
3 - 0
DUD
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |