UNCG vs Wofford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNCG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BBR
2 - 1
UNC
35%
22%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FPD
0 - 3
UNC
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 0
MEB
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNC
7 - 0
VMI
90%
8%
3%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
OMC
3 - 2
UNC
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wofford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WFT
1 - 3
FPD
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
WFT
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ETS
3 - 3
WFT
73%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WFT
8 - 1
VMI
86%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VMI
2 - 3
WFT
9%
15%
75%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |