UNCG vs ETSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNCG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
0 - 0
ETS
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
WFT
0 - 1
UNC
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 2
BBR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VMI
0 - 4
UNC
6%
13%
81%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
2 - 3
FPD
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ETSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
0 - 0
ETS
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ETS
7 - 0
VMI
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ETS
0 - 0
BBR
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WFT
2 - 3
ETS
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MEB
0 - 1
ETS
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |