UNC Asheville vs USC Upstate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNC Asheville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 1
NCA
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
NCA
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
WTR
1 - 2
NCA
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LGW
1 - 2
NCA
37%
22%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USC Upstate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
SCU
11%
16%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
5 - 1
PST
86%
9%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
1 - 4
SCU
7%
13%
79%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
SCU
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 2
SCU
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |