UNC Asheville vs Gardner–Webb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNC Asheville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
HPT
5 - 1
NCA
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PST
3 - 2
NCA
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NCA
2 - 3
SCU
19%
20%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 1
NCA
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
NCA
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gardner–Webb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
GWU
0 - 1
CFC
12%
17%
72%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GWU
1 - 2
SCU
13%
17%
69%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
0 - 1
GWU
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GWU
2 - 1
PST
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
2 - 3
GWU
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |