UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
5º
42
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
6 - 2
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 2
DEP
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 4
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |