UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
REA
1 - 3
UNA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
UNA
1 - 0
CFC
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
UNA
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
UNA
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
UNA
10 - 2
NFC
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
NFC
1 - 4
EST
12%
22%
66%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CDS
0 - 0
EST
20%
27%
53%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +7 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
EST
4 - 0
DIR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
REA
0 - 3
EST
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |