UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
UNA
3 - 1
JAP
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
UNA
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
UNA
0 - 1
DIR
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UNA
2 - 3
REA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 2
UNA
51%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
FVI
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |