UNAN Managua vs Rancho Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
8º
6º
7
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 14 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
UNA
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
4 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 1
JAP
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
MFC
13%
19%
68%
|
6 | 55 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 3
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
6 | 65 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
10%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EST
5 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
7 | 67 | 60 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
RSA
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |