UNAN Managua vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
5º
21
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
UNA
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 2
CDS
8%
16%
75%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
DIR
16%
25%
60%
|
17 | 70 | 53 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 4
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | +1 |