UNAN Managua vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
5º
21
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
UNA
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
17%
24%
60%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 2
CDS
8%
16%
75%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
DIR
16%
25%
60%
|
15 | 69 | 54 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 61 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 4
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 68 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 63 | 48 | 0 |