UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
8º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 1
JAP
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
UNA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
UNA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DIR
7 - 0
UNA
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 0
UNA
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
MFC
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
JUM
3 - 3
MFC
15%
18%
67%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |