UNA vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HSC
2 - 2
UNA
29%
23%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNA
2 - 4
HBS
60%
21%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JVC
0 - 3
UNA
51%
22%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 3
WKE
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 4
UNA
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
USV
3 - 2
WKE
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
KON
2 - 1
USV
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
USV
0 - 1
LIE
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
USV
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
USV
1 - 1
VVS
28%
25%
46%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |