UNA vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
UNA
0 - 0
DEU
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 0
UNA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
UNA
4 - 0
EHC
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
UNA
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UNA
5 - 2
OJC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SPA
5 - 0
HHC
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FLE
3 - 8
SPA
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 3
RIJ
57%
21%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IJS
3 - 2
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |