UNA vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 0
UNA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UNA
3 - 0
MAG
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
OJC
0 - 3
UNA
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UNA
6 - 0
SWZ
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TIE
2 - 1
UNA
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
HBS
4 - 0
USV
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LIE
4 - 1
HBS
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HBS
4 - 2
HSC
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAG
2 - 0
HBS
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HBS
2 - 3
OJC
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |