Umvoti vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umvoti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UMV
1 - 3
TSG
6%
14%
80%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
HLF
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
JDR
3 - 3
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 2
BLA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 2
VFA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
CST
0 - 2
BAR
39%
23%
38%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |