UMS de Loum vs Union Douala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.8%
33.5%
Draw
0-0
17.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.5%
31.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
10º
9º
19
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMS de Loum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
LES
2 - 1
UMS
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
2 - 0
FOV
32%
32%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
UMS
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
1 - 1
ASF
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAM
3 - 2
UMS
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Douala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
ASF
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAM
0 - 0
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
APE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PWD
0 - 0
UNI
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |