UMS de Loum vs Aigle Royal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
10º
9º
10
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMS de Loum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
2 - 3
AAF
37%
32%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
2 - 1
UNI
35%
34%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
LES
2 - 1
UMS
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
2 - 0
FOV
32%
32%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
UMS
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Royal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
AIR
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 3
ASF
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
BAM
1 - 1
AIR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
4 - 2
APE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PWD
0 - 0
AIR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |