AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Umm Salal vs FC Seoul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
WAK
3 - 2
UMM
26%
26%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UMM
0 - 5
SAA
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
UMM
2 - 0
KHO
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
ALH
0 - 0
UMM
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
ALI
7 - 0
UMM
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Seoul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
2 - 1
JEO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SEO
1 - 0
FCS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 2
ULS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
POH
5 - 2
FCS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DAE
0 - 3
FCS
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |