Umm Salal vs Al-Shamal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SAA
6 - 0
UMM
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 1
UMM
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 2
GHA
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UMM
0 - 0
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 0
ARA
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
SAA
4 - 0
ALS
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
QAT
0 - 2
ALS
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 2
ALS
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |