Umm Salal vs Al-Shamal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
11º
11º
18
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 2
ADS
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
UMM
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 3
SAA
16%
18%
66%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
UMM
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UMM
0 - 1
ADS
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALS
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
WAK
5 - 1
ALS
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AHL
0 - 1
ALS
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
SAA
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |