Umm Salal vs Al-Sadd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
11º
10º
28
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 29 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 28 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 27 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 24 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 35% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
UMM
1 - 2
ADS
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ALS
4 - 0
UMM
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
UMM
2 - 6
RAY
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
UMM
42%
23%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 3
UMM
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
SAA
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAA
0 - 1
QAT
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAA
1 - 0
ALS
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AHL
2 - 2
SAA
31%
23%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 2
SAA
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |