Umm Salal vs Muaither analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
7º
15
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 2
WAK
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 2
UMM
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
UMM
3 - 4
ALS
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 0
UMM
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 2
UMM
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Muaither
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAA
4 - 2
ALM
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
GHA
18%
21%
62%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
AHL
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MES
2 - 0
ALM
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALM
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |