Umm Salal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UMM
4 - 2
ALS
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 3
UMM
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 2
UMM
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UMM
1 - 2
ALS
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 0
UMM
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 3
GHA
28%
23%
49%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
GHA
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 3
WAK
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GHA
2 - 1
RAY
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |