Umm Salal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 1
UMM
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LEK
3 - 1
UMM
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
UMM
4 - 3
QAT
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UMM
3 - 0
AHL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
UMM
1 - 0
JAI
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GHA
0 - 3
PER
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JAI
4 - 1
GHA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GHA
3 - 3
ALH
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
AHL
1 - 4
GHA
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 5
RAY
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |