Umm Salal vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
11º
10º
28
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 29 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 28 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 27 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 24 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 21% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 0
RAY
34%
23%
42%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 0
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 0
KHO
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 0
UMM
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 1
AHL
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AHL
3 - 2
RAY
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AHL
2 - 1
ALS
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 2
AHL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AHL
0 - 1
ADS
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |