Umm Salal vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
7º
23
8º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 1
UMM
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WAK
0 - 5
UMM
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 3
ALS
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 2
QAT
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
UMM
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AHL
2 - 0
MAR
32%
23%
46%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
2 - 1
AHL
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
ABS
4 - 1
AHL
37%
22%
41%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
AHL
1 - 4
GHA
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAA
4 - 2
AHL
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |