Umm Salal vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
UMM
1 - 0
JAI
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
UMM
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
UMM
0 - 0
WAK
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SAA
4 - 1
UMM
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 0
UMM
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 0
AHL
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 0
AHL
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
AHL
2 - 3
SAA
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
LEK
1 - 0
AHL
65%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
AHL
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |