Umia vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
UMI
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 0
POR
43%
24%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDV
0 - 1
UMI
62%
19%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 0
MOR
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 2
UMI
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 4
POR
12%
19%
69%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
PON
30%
25%
45%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
3 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAR
11%
19%
71%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |