Umia vs SCD Ponte Caldelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
UMI
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
PON
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
UMI
41%
24%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 1
UMI
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Ponte Caldelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 4
ADR
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 1
TYD
35%
23%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 2
MOR
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PON
3 - 2
PUE
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
4 - 4
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |