Umia vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MOA
0 - 1
UMI
15%
20%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
UMI
1 - 0
SAN
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UMI
1 - 2
GRA
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 1
UMI
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
UMI
3 - 0
PON
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
PON
2 - 2
CEL
67%
19%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 2
CAM
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
POR
3 - 0
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 2
CDV
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 2
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |