UMECIT II vs San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 1
UME
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UME
4 - 1
SSM
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
UME
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 4
SSM
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 0
UME
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SSM
3 - 1
SMA
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
AFC
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
SMA
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 1
AFC
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
4 - 2
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |