UMECIT vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
31
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
UME
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 2
TAU
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SFF
3 - 1
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COS
2 - 3
SFF
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 0
AFC
39%
28%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |